Int. J. Simul. Multisci. Des. Optim.
Volume 6, 2015
|Number of page(s)||7|
|Published online||27 May 2015|
A market model: uncertainty and reachable sets
Universidad Panamericana, Facultad de Ingeniería, Augusto Rodin 498, 03920
Mexico DF, Mexico
* e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Accepted: 3 March 2015
Uncertain parameters are always present in models that include human factor. In marketing the uncertain consumer behavior makes it difficult to predict the future events and elaborate good marketing strategies. Sometimes uncertainty is being modeled using stochastic variables. Our approach is quite different. The dynamic market with uncertain parameters is treated using differential inclusions, which permits to determine the corresponding reachable sets. This is not a statistical analysis. We are looking for solutions to the differential inclusions. The purpose of the research is to find the way to obtain and visualise the reachable sets, in order to know the limits for the important marketing variables. The modeling method consists in defining the differential inclusion and find its solution, using the differential inclusion solver developed by the author. As the result we obtain images of the reachable sets where the main control parameter is the share of investment, being a part of the revenue. As an additional result we also can define the optimal investment strategy. The conclusion is that the differential inclusion solver can be a useful tool in market model analysis.
Key words: Marketing / Market model / Simulation / Differential inclusions / Uncertainty
© S. Raczynski, Published by EDP Sciences, 2015
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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